Canterbury
Park Picks
For Thursday June 19th 2014
LAST THURSDAY NIGHT THE MULTI
RACE WAGERS GOT SHUT DOWN. BOTH EARLY AND LATE PICK 4’S AS WELL AS THE LATE
DAILY DOUBLE WERE TOASTED EARLY IN THE SEQUENCE. IT’S BEEN BACK TO BACK WEEKS WITH ONLY ONETOP PICK WINNER
BUT I'VE HAD SEVERAL RUN WELL AND HIT THE BOARD, STILL IT'S TIME TO START GETTING MORE PICKS TO THE WINNERS CIRCLE. OVERALL THE MULTI
RACE WAGERS ARE STILL HOLDING ONTO A SLIM PROFIT FOR THE MEET AND THAT’S WITH A
BIG GOOSE EGG IN THE PICK 4 COLUMN. IT’S ANOTHER VERY NICE THURSDAY NIGHT CARD
FOR BUCK NIGHT AT CANTERBURY PARK. GOOD LUCK!
Race 3 – 1 * 2 * 5
R3 .50 Cent Pick 4 –1,2/2,3,6,7,9,10/3,7,8/2,4,5
– ($54)
ACARPIAN – IT'S THE DIODORO/STEVENS COMBO RIGHT OFF THAT BAT AND THIS FILLY HAS BEEN RUNNING
VERY CONSISTENTLY. SHE TOOK THE LONG WAY AROUND LAST OUT BUT STILL RAN
RESPECIABLE AGAINST TOUGHER. SHE SHOULD WORK A BETTER TRIP FROM POST 2 AND HAS
WON 3 OF HER LAST 5 WITH ONLY ONE OFF THE BOARD FINISH.
GO GO JILL – RAN
A GOOD LOOKING RACE OFF THE LAYOFF FOR THE CBY OWNERS AND RENGSTORF LAST OUT. I
DO LIKE THAT THEY GIVE HER A FULL 4 WEEKS OFF AFTER THE CAREER TOP EFFORT AND
ANY IMPROVEMENT OFF THAT AND SHE’LL BE VERY TOUGH. SHE WAS CAUGHT LATE LAST OUT
AT 11-1 IN A GOOD FIELD AND WILL NEED TO GO AN EXTRA FURLONG TODAY.
SHE’S MIGHTY FAST – GOES
THIRD OFF THE LAYOFF AFTER GETTING A WIDE TRIP. hER BEST EFFORT LATE LAST FALL
IS GOOD TO BE IN THE MIX HERE BUT SHE’LL NEED TO IMPROVE ON HER SPRING FORM.
Race 4 – 3 * 9 * 11
SECRET STORY – WIDE OPEN TURF RACE WHERE i’LL TAKE
A CHANCE WITH THE 2ND TIMER WHO WAS A LITTLE GREEN IN THE STRETCH FIRST
TIME OUT BUT RAN AN OK 3RD. i EXPECT IMPROVEMENT HERE FOR THIS FILLY WHO MAY
HAVE SOME TALENT FOR SCHERER WHO’S OFF TO A NICE START TO THE 14’ MEET.
DORN – GOES FIRST TIME TURF FOR ROBERTSON
WHO WINS AT MEDIOCRE 12% WITH THAT MOVE. I EXPECT THE RED HOT CANCHARI TO GO
FOR THE LEAD FROM AN OUTSIDE POST. ROBERTSON IS 0-9 WITH THE ADDED BLINKERS AND
GATE 9 IS THE ONLY WINLESS GATE SO FAR THIS MEET (0-11) ON THE CANTERBURY TURF.
LADY BRIGHTON – RHONE GENERALLY DOESN’T HAVE a lot OF
SUCCESS OFF THE LAYOFF BUT MAKES SOME HAY 2ND OUT WHERE HE’S HITTING
AT 26%. THE FILLY HAS THE BLOOD TO RUN ON THE GRASS AND SHOULD REALLY IMPROVE
PICKING UP THE SERVICES OF DEAN BUTLER.
Race 5 – 8 * 7 * 3
TOTAL PACKAGE
– HIS LAST REAL DIRT TRY IN APRIL CAME AFTER A TWO YEAR LAYOFF. SHOWED
SOME SPEED AND THEN QUIT THAT DAY. MOVED TO THE SYNTHETIC FOR A COUPLE OF TRIES
AND NOW RETURNS TO DIRT WHERE HE DID SOME NICE RUNNING AT 4 AND 5 YRS OLD.
OBVIOUSLY SOMETHING WENT WRONG AND ITS DOUBTFUL HE RUNS BACK TO HIS BEST DAY
BUT IF THE TRACK IS FAVORING SPEED I CAN SEE HIM GETTING THE JUMP ON THE FIELD
AND POSSIBLY HOLDING ON
MAGGIES GUY – FIRST
START AT CBY JUST OVER A MONTH AGO WAS A CAREER BEST. REGRESSED A BIT ON THE
SLOP NEXT OUT AND CLAIMED BY PFEIFER WHO DOESN’T HAVE A RECENT TRACK RECORD OFF
THE CLAIM.
VICOTRY SLED – WINNLESS
CHARISA GOODWIN IS BACK ABOARD THIS 6YR OLD COMING OFF A CARRER TOP 20 DAYS
AGO. LIKE TO SEE 3+ WEEKS OFF THE CAREER TOP AND THERE’S A STRING OF 4 STRAIGHT
IMPROVING SPEED FIGURES. WE’LL LIKELY SEE SOME REGRESSION.
Race 6 – 2 * 5 * 4
IN JEOPARDY –
BUTLER AND RHONE WHO ARE BOTH OFF TO A BIT OF A SLOW START THIS MEET BUT THIS
GUY IS WORKING WELL OFF THE SHORT LAYOFF. IS 2 FOR 3 OVER THE CANTERBURY
SURFACE.
GOLD COUNTRY
CAT – DIDN’T DO MUCH RUNNING WHEN HE RETURNED TO CANTERBURY
20 DAYS AGO BUT HAS RAN WELL ENOUGH OVER LONG PERIODS OF TIME IN THE PAST TO
HAVE A GOOD SHOT HERE.
JENNA’S LEMON – WAS
GOING WELL IN NEBRASKA. IS NOW GOING FIRST OUT AFTER BEING CLAIMED FROM A BARN
WITH RESPECTIBLE NUMBERS AND GOING TO ONE THAT DOESN’T HAVE MUCH OF A TRACK
RECORD. OLESIAK HAS A TOUGH TIME WINNING AT CANTERBURY BUT THE HORSE SEEMS TO
FIT.
Race 7 – 9 * 8 * 2
R7 50 Cent Pick 4 –
1,2,4,8,9/4,5/1,3/1,2,10 ($30)
FINANCIAL
FREEDOM – MADE UP A TON OF GROUND IN CAREER DEBUT AFTER BREAKING
TERRIBLY AND COMING WITHIN 3 LENGTHS AT 5.5 FURLONGS. iF PADILLA HAS GOT THE
GATE ISSUES FIRGURED OUT HE’LL BE TOUGH.
TRUE TRUFFLE – RAN
2ND IN HIS CAREER DEBUT FOR PORTER BACK IN APRIL. PORTER IS WINLESS
FOR THE MEET BUT THE 1ST AND 3RD PLACE HORSES BOTH CAME
BACK TO WIN NEXT OUT FROM THAT DEBUT RACE.
BLUE BOMBER – DIODORO’S
MAIN MAN CARRENO CLIMBS ABOARD BLUE BOMBER 2ND OUT OFF THE SHORT LAYOFF.
DIODORO WINS 20% OF THE TIME with THESE. JOCKEY AND TRAINER HAVE HIT AT 27% SO
FAR IN THE 14’ MEET.
Race 8 – 5 * 4 * 6
R8 $1 P3 – 4,5,6/3/1,2,4,7,10
($15)
SO sHINY – RAN
WELL OPENING WEEKEND OFF THE LAYOFF AND REGRESSED WHEN HITTING THE MUDDY TRACK
A COUPLE WEEKS AGO. I DOUBT THAT EFFORT TOOK MUCH OUT OF HIM AS HE’S SHOWN IN
THE PAST HE CAN RUN BIG EFFORTS.
SWEET ELATION
– THERE ARE A COUPLE RECENT SLOPPY TRACK EFFORTS THAT JUMP OFF THE PAGE
BUT THIS 6yr OLD HASN’T RUN OVER A FAST MAIN TRACK. IF HE IMPROVES OFF HIS
SYNTHETIC AND WET TRACK FORM ON A FAST MAIN TRACK HE’LL BE VERY TOUGH FOR THIS
GROUP TO BEAT.
MASTER DEMAND – HAS
IMPROVED 3 STRIGHT AND JUST MISSED AT THIS LEVEL A FEW WEEKS AGO. sTEVENS
RETURNS.
Race 9 - 3 * 1 * 5
R9 $2 Daily Double
1,3/1,2,4,7,10 ($20)
CASSIDILLY – tHIS MARE HAS RUN WELL ENOUGH EVERY TIME
CANCHARI’S BEEN ABOARD TO WIN HERE. hE’S HITTING AT 27% SO GIVING HIM THE NOD.
WILDIE –
lAST COUPLE EFFORTS HAVE BEEN OK BUT THE DROP TO 4K GIVES THIS GIRL A
REASONABLE SHOT
JUST HAVE’N FUN – JOCKEY
IS HOT AND WILL NEED TO STAY CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE CRAZY SPEED. sHOULD HAVE FIRST
CRACK TO RUN THEM DOWN WHEN THE CRAZY SPEED STARTS TO FOLD.
Race 10 - 1 * 10 * 2
HALL OF
JUSTICE – TRAINER IS 0/9
OFF THIS TYPE OF LAYOFF BUT HAS WORKED AS WELL AS ANY FOR THIS TYPE OF HORSE FOR
THE 14’ DEBUT. mAYBE HE CAN FINALLY GET THE WIN AT 5.
PRAIRIE MAN – GOT A PERFECT TRIP ON THE LEAD
BREAKING FROM THE INSIDE LAST OUT AND PUT UP A CAREER BEST. MAYBE THIS GUY IS
BETTER THIS YEAR OR MAYBE HE FINALLY HAD THE PERFECT TRIP. eITHER way HE STILL
COULDN’T HOLD ON AND NOW BREAKS FROM THE OUTSIDE POST AND HAS TO GO ANOTHER ½ FURLONG.
if HE DOES GET A NICE JUMP ON THIS GROUP EARLY IT MIGHT BE OVER IF NOT HE’S IN
TROUBLE.
LUXUYRY AND GLITTER – HAS SHOWN THE MOST TALENT IN THIS
GROUP BUT IS STILL looking FOR A WIN FROM 28 STARTS. hE HAS HIT THE BOARD 8
TIMES AND HAS BEEN IN AGAINST TOUGHER. nEW CONDITIONER WHO DOESN’T HAVE A START
SINCE 2011 AND IS 1 FOR 8 LIFETIME. wILFREDO aRROYO RIDES FOR THE FIRST TIME
THIS YEAR. THERE’S A LOT WORKING AGAINST HIM.
Season Stats
|
||||
Multi Race Wagers
|
||||
Bet
|
Win
|
|||
| Pick 4 | $ 333.50 | $ - | ||
| Pick 3 | $ - | $ - | ||
| DD | $ 90.00 | $ 425.50 | ||
| Season | $ 423.50 | $ 425.50 | ||
Top Pick Winners
|
||||
| 16-May | R3 #3 | $ 6.00 | ||
| R4 #4 | $ 2.10 | |||
| R7 #9 | $ 28.80 | |||
| R8 #10 | $ 9.20 | |||
| 23-May | R6 #1 | $ 6.20 | ||
| 30-May | R2 #7 | $ 3.80 | ||
| R7 #2 | $ 7.00 | |||
| R8 #7 | $ 8.80 | |||
| 5-Jun | R10 #1 | $ 3.80 | ||
| 12-Jun | R6#3 | $ 4.80 | ||
| TopPicks |
Win %
|
Ave Payoff
|
||
| 10 for 36 |
27.8%
|
$ 8.05 | ||
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