Canterbury Park Selections for Sunday June 22nd
Race 1 (QH) – 4 * 6 * 1
R1 $1 Pick 3 –
1,4,6/3,4,5/2,3,5 ($27)
Race 2 (QH) – 4 * 3 * 5
Race 3 (QH) – 5 * 2 * 3
Race 4 – 1 *
2 * 5
R4 .50 Cent Pick 4 – 2,3,4,5/ALL/3,8/2,7
($56)
TACTICAL ROCKET – You have to break
well in these 3.5F races or really be a Special horse if you miss the break and
win. While I think my 2nd and 3rd place picks have more
potential tactical rocket has at least proven he can break and has run a couple
nice races in Arizona. He’s cutting back to 3.5F from 5 and 4.5 so he’s got the
stamina.
CHARLIE AGAIN – 20K Keeland
purchase goes out for Robertson who’s 22% first out in this type of race. The
colt has shown some speed in the morning throwing up a 36 2/5th 3F
work, impressive for a 2 year old over the Canterbury strip. If this colt makes
the break it might be all over Charlie.
SUBTLE
INDIAN –
I’ve become a big fan of the Diodoro stable both out west and now at
Canterbury. Diodoro also has some success with first time starters hitting at
21%. Son of Indian Charlie looks good on the tab.
Race 5 – 7 * 2 * 5
Tough to get an opinion going in this race. I’ll take
a chance that RYAN’S
MIRACLE was just off her game last out
and ready to run in this spot. She’s proved that at times she’s good enough to
beat this group and she picks up Eikleberry who’s been hot. Top pick 7; all
button in the pick 4. There isn’t one horse in this field that would shock me
for the win.
Race 6 – 3 *
8 * 5
R6 $1 Pick 3 - ALL/2,7/8 ($16)
NORTHERN CHAMP – Ran ok in the mud
in his Canterbury debut and returns two week later to face similar competition
and cuts back a ½ furlong. Robertson is taking the blinkers off and he’s won 40%
with that move in the past. Northern Champs best running has been on the turf.
Connections interestingly pass up today 9th race on the sod where
(on paper) she would seem to fit nicely even against non-state breds.
STORMY BULL – Showed early
speed and faded in the mud in the same race as the top pick last out. Ran a few
nice ones for this type of horse at this distance last summer. Maybe the
cutback to 5.5 furlongs and a fast main track is all he needs.
SONNY MONEY – Tried a tougher
group of MN bred’s in season debut and drops in with claimers 2nd
off the layoff. Ordaz didn’t give him much of a trip in the season debut. Maybe
with an improved trip, fast main track, and 2nd off the layoff he’ll
be good enough here.
Race 7 – 2
* 5 * 7
DAKOTA MAC – Ran right off
the page opening weekend with a career top speed figure. Love that they didn’t
wheel him back in 2 or 3 weeks instead got 36 days off which is what horses need
after running huge efforts. He should be ready to run another nice one for the
Canchari/Robertson duo who’s hitting over 30% together at Canterbury.
PHISH FAN – Moved to the Arlington
turf last out for a tough group of 50k claimers and didn’t run to his
potential. I expect him to be sitting on one of his better efforts given the
nice breaks between races and the non-effort last out on the turf. This
conditioner has won 4 of 18 going from turf to dirt.
ROCKIN HOME – Tried a couple of
stakes but now moves in with some optional claimers. His numbers looks better
on the sheets than they do in the racing form. Should be well positioned here
and wheeling and dealing on the lead. Maybe that last out on the turf built in
a little extra staying power and he’ll be able to hold on. tough spot but i
wouldn’t be shocked if rockin home pulled a minor upset especially if the track
is playing kind to his 21n3 opening quarter speed.
Race 8 – 8 *
10 * 4
R8 50 Cent Pick 4 – 4,8,10/1,3,4,5,9,12/2,6/4,5
($36)
ITSABOUTJAZZ– debuted well a
couple weeks ago for a trainer that hits 24% with second out maidens. Moves
from 3.5f to 5 here. Giving him the nod due to having the race over the two
first timers drawn to his outside.
PERFECT MAJESTIC – I’m hoping this
100k purchase for Al & Bill Ulwelling runs well. I’m sure he has some
talent and hasn’t looked bad in the morning but Biehler is 0 for 16 with first
time starters
PERMIT TO CARRY – Another good
looking first timer for Silva. Interesting that Canchari passes up calypso run
for regular trainer mac Robertson and rides this one for Silva instead. Calypso
run also appears to have some talent but although it’s hard to say what’s
always going on with these jockey decisions Canchari going for Silva has me
interested.
Race 9 – 5 *
1 * 3 (on the turf selections)
LIAR LIAR LIAR – we’ll see if Diodoro
can get two in a row here with liar liar liar. His go to rider joins and they
hit 27% together. One win but has hit the board 8 of 14 in her career and is 5
for 8 on the board at the distance. If you look at form cycles, on paper, she
looks to be sitting on one of her top efforts which will be more than enough to
get it done against this group.
BOURBONOLGY – a little bit of a
homer selection as part owner. Bourbonology does have the lowest last out
number on the form rating the problem is that was 288 days ago. Race is lacking
a lot of pace but maybe the jocks will recognize that and a couple will go for
it early. She probably needs or two before at her best but I’ll be cheering for
a big late run and catching them all at the wire.
A THOUSAND TALENTS – taking a price shot
here. Draw a line through that last effort in the off the turf event. Wasn’t
beaten by much by waves of light may 23’rd and if she draws in might be the
favorite in here. Stands to improve and maybe be in the mix at a nice price if
this says on the turf. I’d take waves of light over a thousand talents if waves
draws in.
Race 10 – 6 *
2 * 4
R10 $5 DAILY DOUBLE – 2,6/4 ($10)
R10 $2 daily double – 2,4,6,7,10/4 ($10)
PRAIRIE CRUSADER – Drops in with
claimers after being over matched in the season debut with MSW’s. I expect Vic
Hanson to have a bit more speed worked into this guy and giving him a chance to
fire at a big price.
A P THE MVP – Drops to MCL here
after a couple nice efforts. He’s the one to beat; any improvement off his
previous two and he’ll dispatch this group.
TWO CHANCES – This ones
actually increasing the claiming price but has had almost a full month off the
career top in May. Improvement off that effort and he’s right in the mix here.
Shepherd is in the irons who’s actually been sneaky good so far this meet.
Race 11 – 4 *
5 * 2 (on the turf selections)
KISSMEIMDANISH – Ran a very nice
one against tougher in her Canterbury season debut. Returned last out and
apparently didn’t like the footing as the favorite in an off the turf event. 3rd
off the layoff with a non-effort last out puts her on a big effort if this stays
on the grass. Eikleberry and Lund are hot hitting at 27%. I think this is a big
time play if by chance you get the 7/2 morning line.
THRICE NICE – Season debut at
Canterbury was rained off the turf. She did close well off the turf but speed
figure wise it was still a cut below her best. Should see improvement with the
move to turf.
HARLAN’S SWEETIE– The other Lund runner
heads back to the turf after a spin over the Canterbury dirt. Best running has
come on the grass where she’s 8 for 14 in the money.
Season Stats
| ||||
Multi Race Wagers
| ||||
Bet
|
Win
| |||
| Pick 4 | $ 333.50 | $ - | ||
| Pick 3 | $ - | $ - | ||
| DD | $ 90.00 | $ 425.50 | ||
| Season | $ 423.50 | $ 425.50 | ||
Top Pick Winners
| ||||
| 16-May | R3 #3 | $ 6.00 | ||
| R4 #4 | $ 2.10 | |||
| R7 #9 | $ 28.80 | |||
| R8 #10 | $ 9.20 | |||
| 23-May | R6 #1 | $ 6.20 | ||
| 30-May | R2 #7 | $ 3.80 | ||
| R7 #2 | $ 7.00 | |||
| R8 #7 | $ 8.80 | |||
| 5-Jun | R10 #1 | $ 3.80 | ||
| 12-Jun | R6#3 | $ 4.80 | ||
| Picks | Win % | Ave Payoff | ||
| 10 for 36 | 27.8% | $ 8.05 | ||
No comments:
Post a Comment